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The Deciders
Staff Reporter | Posted May 29, 2008 1:46 PMMeet the Deciders. They are the four undecided African American members of the Democratic Party's rules and bylaws committee that will meet this weekend to determine the fate of Florida and Michigan. With the Democratic nomination hanging in the balance, these 3 women and 1 man may decide the outcome of the Democratic presidential primary.
After 17 months of campaigning, all eyes will turn to a hotel room in Washington this Saturday when the DNC's rules committee meets to decide what to do about the disputed delegates in Florida and Michigan.
The 30-member committee will decide if the delegates in those two states that jumped ahead of the party's primary schedule will be awarded at all, and if so, by what proportion.
The Clinton campaign is pushing to seat all the elected delegates from Florida and Michigan, two states that Senator Hillary Clinton technically won, although Senator Barack Obama agreed with Clinton and the other candidates last fall not to compete in those states.
The Obama campaign has said that it wants to include delegates from those two contested states, but they've talked about using a different formula for determining how those delegates are proportioned. And they point out that their candidate's name was not listed on the ballot in Michigan, so it was not possible for the state's residents to vote for him.
That means it all comes down to the rules committee to figure out what to do. Of the 30 members of the committee, 13 are listed as Clinton supporters, 8 are listed as Obama supporters, and 9 (including the two co-chairs) are publicly undecided.
Two weeks ago we published a list of the black superdelegates to the Democratic National Convention in Denver this August. But what hasn't been reported as often is that 9 members of the rules committee are black, including co-chair Alexis Herman, a former White House aide to Bill Clinton and Secretary of Labor in the Clinton Administration.
As DNC members, they are all superdelegates, but like many other African Americans, they're not monolithic about their candidate preferences. Hillary Clinton has three black superdelegates on the committee, including Hartina Flournoy from the American Federation of Teachers/AFL-CIO, former Clinton White House aide Ben Johnson, and Alice Huffman, the president of the California State Conference of the NAACP.
For his part, Barack Obama counts at least two black members of the rules committee: Janice Griffin, the president of Griffin and Associates in Maryland, and Everett Ward, a DNC member from Wake Forest, North Carolina.
That leaves 4 African American rules committee members undecided, or at least undeclared. In addition to Herman, the four include former Al Gore campaign manager and ABC/CNN political commentator Donna Brazile; Ralph Dawson, a partner at the New York law firm of Fulbright & Jaworski; and Yvonne Gates, a former commissioner for Clark County, Nevada.
Five other committee members are also undecided, which means that four of the 9 undecided members (44 percent) are black, and they have been under tremendous pressure to declare their support for one candidate or another. Now, with just two days left until the committee meets to make its decision, the pressure is likely to grow.
Back in February, Brazile warned the party that the superdelegates should not intervene to determine the Democratic nominee for president. "If 795 of my colleagues decide this election, I will quit the Democratic Party," she said. "I feel very strongly about this," she added. Brazile later backed away from that remark a bit, but now that we've come to the final week of the primary, the race is still, technically, unresolved, and lawyers for the DNC are suggesting that the delegates for Michigan and Florida may be cut in half.
Although Obama commands a majority of the delegates, neither candidate has won the 2,026 delegates needed to clinch the nomination without Florida and Michigan, or the 2210 delegates needed to win if Florida and Michigan are counted. Obama is just about 50 delegates shy of the 2,026 number, but he'd have to get a strong majority of the 86 delegates left in the remaining contests of Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota to reach that number without relying on the superdelegates to help him cross over.
That means we're back to where we started in February, and the superdelegates may ultimately decide the victor after all. And Alexis, Donna, Ralph and Yvonne will be getting plenty of phone calls in the next 48 hours.
Articles written by a Staff Reporter are unsigned reports from a member of the staff.
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